On June 1st 2019 we published the analysis: in which we proposed the following scenario: Bitcoin finding itself at a significant distance from any support it is hard to believe that the major June thrust should extend higher without an intervening price consolidation. Bitcoin should retreat in the aforementioned price area with $7,000 being the […]
Before / After Analysis – Bitcoin – Wake
In June 2018 we published: in which we proposed the following scenario for Bitcoin in US dollar: On a semi-log price chart the rise from $152.40 in Jan 2015 to $19,666 in Dec 2018 shares similarities with the previous increase from $2.22 in Oct 2011 to $1164 in Nov 2013 (Bitstamp price history) with both […]
Before / After Analysis – AMD – March 20
In March 2018 we published: Advanced Micro Devices (Symbol: AMD) Is Consolidating Its 2-Year Advance Within a Falling Monthly Wedge and commented: AMD is retracing its 2-year move from mid-2015 to July 2017 and looks good to buy at the bottom of the falling wedge. Another oscillation could happen inside the wedge but the next […]
Before / After Analysis – Nasdaq 100
On January 23rd, 2018 we published the following Nasdaq 100 monthly price chart when it stood at $6,906, commenting: NASDAQ 100 (Symbol: NDX) Monthly Price Chart When in doubt about the target plot it on a semilog price axis, which reshapes an exponential trend with a linear look. Plotting the resistance trend line above the […]
Before / After Analysis – USDZAR – March
On 1 March 2018 we published: In which we commented: The South African parliament vote to expropriate white farmers without compensation opens the door to runaway monetary inflation and the demise of the Rand currency. We expect to see the USDZAR correction to have ended here and the ZAR to massively depreciate in the coming […]
Before / After Analysis – Cable (GBPUSD)
Beyond identifying technical setups the main issue a trader is facing is that excepted for the rare shear luck situations or due to occasional wit one rarely catches absolute market reversal tops or bottoms. The following scenario for the cable (GBPUSD) published on 17 January 2018 is a perfect demonstration for this case whereas the […]
Before / After Analysis – Crude Oil – No
In November 2017 we published: On the oil price the following scenario was developed: The oil price reacts very sensitively to minor imbalances between offer and demand resulting in major price swings and both BCO and WTI benchmarks are now in a cyclical price upswing that should extend far into next year with the WTI […]
Before / After Analysis – Deutsche Bank
In August 2017 we published the article: Obviously our sell signal was premature since we missed the last corrective move that brought up the price from $16 to $20 after a failed attempt to break below the identified support, which underlies the importance of placing stop-losses as proposed in the original analysis. Nevertheless the general […]
Before / After Analysis – Litecoin / Bit
On August 19th, 2017 we published the article Litecoin to outperform Bitcoin over the next two months when the price ratio was slightly above 0.011 and never looked back until it reached 0.019 by September 1st, 2017. LTC/XBT Ratio – 2017 Daily Price Chart – Before LTC/XBT Ratio – 2017 Daily Price Chart – After